According to the source, a social post dated 2025-12-11 claims Bitcoin (BTC) is not reacting to Federal Reserve guidance but provides no charts or figures to verify the claim. source: Twitter post referenced by user dated 2025-12-11 To validate any BTC–Fed divergence, first review the latest FOMC statement, Summary of Economic Projections (dot plot), and Powell press conference transcript to quantify rate-path and liquidity signals that typically drive crypto beta. source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, federalreserve.gov FOMC materials Cross-check real-time BTC spot and perpetual futures metrics—basis, funding rate, open interest, and liquidations—plus correlations to DXY and U.S. 2-year Treasury yields; a genuine divergence is indicated when BTC holds gains while DXY and 2y yields rise and funding remains flat to positive. source: TradingView BTCUSD; ICE U.S. Dollar Index (DXY); U.S. Treasury daily yield rates at home.treasury.gov; Binance/Bybit futures statistics pages For trade planning, track the prior FOMC-day high/low, 20/50-day EMAs, 200-day SMA, and 30-day realized volatility; a breakout with expanding volume and rising cumulative volume delta improves continuation odds, while failure back inside the range favors mean reversion. source: TradingView technical indicators; Deribit and CME crypto volatility data Manage risk by sizing to volatility (for example, 1x ATR stop distance) and pre-marking macro calendar catalysts (CPI, PCE, jobless claims) that can invert correlations intraday. source: Bureau of Labor Statistics CPI schedule (bls.gov); Bureau of Economic Analysis PCE calendar (bea.gov); U.S. Department of Labor weekly claims (dol.gov)

According to @AltcoinDaily, Polymarket has added support for the new crypto asset Monad, which the source framed as bullish for traders seeking fresh venues for event-driven positioning and sentiment signals, source: Altcoin Daily on X, Dec 10, 2025. For actionable monitoring, traders can verify whether Monad-focused markets are live on Polymarket, then track market creation speed, traded volume, open interest, bid-ask spreads, and order book depth to gauge near-term liquidity and sentiment, source: Altcoin Daily on X, Dec 10, 2025. Because the ticker and market details were not provided in the post, traders should confirm the listing directly on Polymarket before sizing positions and manage slippage risk typical of new listings, source: Altcoin Daily on X, Dec 10, 2025.

According to the source, Solana (SOL) liquidity has fallen to bear-market territory amid a reported 500M liquidation overhang, signaling thinner order books and higher execution risk in both spot and perpetual markets. According to the source, the overhang reflects concentrated forced-seller risk above key price levels, elevating slippage and wick risk during periods of volatility. According to the source, traders should closely track SOL order book depth, open interest, and funding rates to gauge stress and potential cascade conditions.

According to @WatcherGuru, $155 million of crypto short positions were liquidated in the past 60 minutes, indicating a concentrated wipeout of bearish leverage in derivatives markets (source: @WatcherGuru on X). Clustered short-liquidation waves are consistent with short-squeeze mechanics that force buybacks and can amplify upside volatility in perpetual futures and spot pairs (source: CME Group education on short covering and squeezes). For trade setup and risk control, monitor funding rates and aggregate open interest to assess whether leverage is resetting or re-levering, which helps confirm or fade squeeze momentum (source: Binance Futures education on funding and open interest).

According to Watcher.Guru, Bitcoin (BTC) reclaimed 92,000 dollars on Dec 9, 2025, marking a break above a key psychological round-number level that traders track for momentum continuation. Source: Watcher.Guru on X. For trade confirmation, momentum desks typically look for a daily close holding above the reclaimed level before adding exposure or moving stops higher. Source: John J. Murphy Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets. Into breakouts, monitor perpetual futures funding and open interest; rising funding alongside increasing open interest indicates crowded longs and elevates liquidation risk on pullbacks, while spot-led advances with neutral funding suggest healthier demand. Source: Binance Futures Funding Rate guide and Glassnode Academy Open Interest explainer.

According to Phantom, this is day 4 of a continuing series of posts about Solana, indicating sustained social attention around SOL. Source: Phantom on X, Dec 9, 2025. The post includes no price, volume, or on-chain data, so trading decisions should be anchored to real-time SOL market metrics rather than the post alone. Source: Phantom on X, Dec 9, 2025. Treat the timestamp as a potential social catalyst and monitor SOL spot volume, perp funding rates, and open interest around the posting window for unusual changes. Source: Phantom on X, Dec 9, 2025.

According to @balajis, he posted the message Towards the Solana network state on December 6, 2025, highlighting Solana in a high-visibility social signal that traders may track for short-term momentum in SOL. Source: https://twitter.com/balajis/status/1997320973008429077 Influencer tweets have been shown to move crypto markets, so traders can monitor immediate SOL price action and market depth for reactive flows. Source: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2021.102211 For confirmation, watch SOL derivatives metrics such as funding rates and open interest to gauge directional bias and positioning. Source: https://academy.binance.com/en/articles/what-is-funding-rate https://www.cmegroup.com/education/courses/introduction-to-futures/open-interest.html Search and attention data can frame sentiment risk; increases in query interest have historically correlated with crypto price dynamics, which traders can overlay with SOL to validate momentum. Source: https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0061981

According to @QCompounding, the post highlights the main stages in a bubble, a cycle-diagnostic topic relevant to timing and risk across equities and crypto. source: @QCompounding The established Kindleberger–Minsky framework defines five stages—displacement, boom, euphoria, profit-taking, and panic—that traders use to map crowd behavior and price acceleration or reversal risk. source: Charles P. Kindleberger, Manias, Panics, and Crashes; Hyman P. Minsky, Stabilizing an Unstable Economy In crypto markets such as BTC and ETH, elevated volatility and fragility around euphoric peaks make it prudent to monitor leverage signals like funding rates and open interest and consider hedging with regulated futures to manage drawdown risk. source: Bank for International Settlements, Cryptocurrencies: looking beyond the hype (2018); Binance Academy, What Is a Funding Rate; CFTC, Futures Fundamentals

According to the source, Bitcoin (BTC) briefly fell below 90,000 on Dec 5, 2025, signaling a breakdown through a major psychological level that often accelerates intraday flows. source: public X post dated 2025-12-05 A breach of a round number like 90,000 tends to cluster stop orders and intensify short-term volatility, making liquidity thin and slippage risk elevated. source: Harris (1991) price clustering; Osler (2003) stop-loss clustering in FX Traders should monitor order book depth and bid replenishment at 90,000 and nearby round numbers such as 88,000 and 85,000 to identify potential liquidity sweeps or exhaustion. source: Kavajecz and Odders-White (2004) order book liquidity; Osler (2003) Check funding rates and open interest on major perpetual swaps and CME futures; rising open interest into a breakdown elevates forced liquidation risk, while a sharp open interest flush can precede stabilization. source: Glassnode Insights derivatives metrics (2021–2023); CME Group education Watch BTC dominance and altcoin beta, as BTC downside shocks typically raise correlations and pressure altcoins more. source: Binance Research crypto correlation studies; Kaiko market structure research Compare spot index spreads between USD venues and offshore USDT venues; widening discounts often accompany risk-off flows and impaired liquidity. source: Kaiko exchange liquidity reports

According to @GreeksLive, on the first weekly settlement day of December there is limited activity in expiring weekly options, with market focus primarily on year-end settlements (source: @GreeksLive, Dec 5, 2025). According to @GreeksLive, positions held through the end of December account for over half of total open interest, highlighting a concentration in year-end expiry positioning (source: @GreeksLive, Dec 5, 2025).

According to @WatcherGuru, about 100 million dollars in crypto long positions were liquidated in the last 60 minutes, indicating a rapid deleveraging wave that can heighten near-term volatility and slippage across BTC and ETH futures order books; traders often respond by reducing leverage, tightening risk limits, and waiting for funding and open interest stabilization before re-entry. Source: @WatcherGuru on X, Dec 4, 2025.

According to the source, Ethereum price reportedly swelled as a 'Fusaka' upgrade went live, but this upgrade name is not among prior Ethereum hard forks (e.g., Shanghai, Dencun) documented by the Ethereum Foundation, so traders should seek confirmation from official Ethereum client teams or the Ethereum Foundation before acting. According to the source, until verified, focus on three checks to avoid headline risk: confirm upgrade activation via official announcements or client release notes, watch ETH spot volume versus perpetual funding rates and open interest for confirmation of trend strength, and assess options implied volatility and skew for signs of sustained directional positioning.

According to @QCompounding, Seth Klarman’s maxim that when sellers must unload at ridiculous prices it can be a good time to buy highlights the opportunity created by forced selling, source: Compounding Quality on X, Dec 2, 2025. In crypto, forced selling typically clusters around derivatives liquidations and margin-driven exits, identifiable via sudden spikes in forced liquidations and sharp open-interest drawdowns, source: CME Group education on margin and liquidation; Kaiko Research derivatives market updates 2023–2024. Traders monitor funding-rate resets and futures basis compression in BTC and ETH during liquidation cascades as positioning stress signals for potential mean-reversion setups, source: Binance Research reports on funding and basis dynamics 2023–2024. Dislocations such as large discounts to NAV in crypto trusts or closed-end funds (for example, GBTC’s discount before ETF conversion) reflect structural selling pressure and can create arbitrageable windows until mechanisms normalize, source: Grayscale GBTC 2023 shareholder communications; CFA Institute coverage of closed-end fund discounts. Spot BTC ETF primary market redemptions and outsized outflows can transmit sell pressure to underlying BTC via AP hedging and basket exchanges, making flow shock days key watchpoints, source: iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) prospectus and capital markets materials. Court-supervised disposals in crypto bankruptcies can create concentrated supply events; tracking court dockets and estate wallets helps quantify overhang and absorption timing, source: U.S. Bankruptcy Court for the District of Delaware filings in major crypto cases 2022–2024; Arkham Intelligence on-chain monitoring.

According to CoinMarketCap, Ethereum (ETH) futures trading has surpassed Bitcoin (BTC) on the CME for the first time, marking a notable shift in derivatives market leadership on December 2, 2025. Source: CoinMarketCap. CoinMarketCap also reports that this milestone has fueled market speculation about an ETH 'super cycle' tied to rising adoption and increased volatility; this reflects sentiment rather than a confirmed outcome. Source: CoinMarketCap. Traders can validate and monitor the development by comparing CME-reported ETH and BTC futures volume and open interest in official daily statistics to assess persistence and flow concentration. Source: CME Group.

According to @0xjatkins, a new bull market is coming, as stated in a Dec 2, 2025 X post that also linked to a post by MacroScope17, indicating a bullish stance without accompanying data or metrics. Source: @0xjatkins on X (Dec 2, 2025). The post did not include specific price levels, macro indicators, or on-chain evidence, so traders should treat it as sentiment rather than a confirmed market signal. Source: @0xjatkins on X (Dec 2, 2025). For confirmation, market participants commonly watch whether BTC and ETH establish higher highs with rising participation via funding rates and open interest to validate risk-on conditions. Sources: CME Group education on open interest; Binance Academy explainer on funding rates. Given the absence of supporting data in the post, applying standard risk management (defined stop-losses, position sizing) is prudent when trading sentiment-driven calls. Sources: CFA Institute materials on risk management; Binance Academy trading risk management basics.

According to @AltcoinDaily, extremes in fear tend to appear near market bottoms while loud confidence clusters near tops, flagging a contrarian sentiment cue for crypto trading; source: Altcoin Daily on X, Nov 30, 2025. Traders can operationalize this by tracking extreme perpetual funding rates and outsized social sentiment spikes as potential reversal zones and then confirming with shifts in open interest and liquidity before adjusting risk; source: Binance Research Understanding Perpetual Funding Rates 2023 and Santiment Market Insights 2022-2024. Elevated positive funding with rising long skew and euphoric social volume often coincide with local tops, while deeply negative funding with fearful social chatter often aligns with local bottoms, providing a rules-based backdrop for entries and exits; source: Glassnode Week On-chain reports 2021-2023 and Santiment Market Insights 2022-2024.

According to @cas_abbe, a $91.5 million BTC long position was opened; the post did not specify the venue, instrument, or leverage, source: @cas_abbe on X, Nov 28, 2025. For trading, participants may track BTC price reaction alongside funding rates and open interest in the following sessions to gauge whether additional positioning follows this reported size, source: @cas_abbe on X, Nov 28, 2025.

According to @cas_abbe, Aster DEX has become one of the largest perp DEXs with $1.35 billion in TVL, $700 million in annualized revenue, $280 billion in monthly perpetuals volume, and $2.3 billion in open interest, source: @cas_abbe. According to @cas_abbe, the team is executing periodic buybacks using 50%–80% of collected fees, which directly impacts $ASTER token flow, source: @cas_abbe. According to @cas_abbe, the post also cites support from @cz_binance and explicitly raises the comparison of $ASTER to $BNB, source: @cas_abbe. According to @cas_abbe, these figures and fee-funded buybacks are presented as key trading context for participants tracking $ASTER and on-chain derivatives liquidity, source: @cas_abbe.

According to @cas_abbe, ASTER open interest is spiking while the funding rate remains positive, indicating a long-heavy positioning that risks a market-maker flush in the near term (source: @cas_abbe on X). According to @cas_abbe, @Aster_DEX has paused buybacks and plans to resume them on December 5, while reporting roughly $1.7M in daily fees that would support seven-figure daily buybacks once restarted (source: @cas_abbe on X). According to @cas_abbe, a trading approach of dollar-cost averaging on dips and avoiding leverage is preferred ahead of the restart, with the author asserting potential outperformance after buybacks resume (source: @cas_abbe on X).

According to @EvanWeb3, the user posted the remark This guy perps while linking to an X post by @0xairtx on November 27, 2025, implying the referenced party trades crypto perpetual futures, source: https://twitter.com/EvanWeb3/status/1993880638269870554 and source: https://x.com/0xairtx/status/1993404654588231980. The cited post provides no details on asset, direction, size, exchange, or timing, so it does not constitute a verifiable trading signal, source: https://twitter.com/EvanWeb3/status/1993880638269870554 and source: https://x.com/0xairtx/status/1993404654588231980. Given the absence of trade specifics in the source, traders should avoid initiating positions based solely on this mention and wait for corroborating disclosures or data, source: https://twitter.com/EvanWeb3/status/1993880638269870554. Actionable next step is to monitor the linked threads for any follow-up with concrete parameters that could inform funding, open interest, or spread dynamics, source: https://twitter.com/EvanWeb3/status/1993880638269870554 and source: https://x.com/0xairtx/status/1993404654588231980.